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"Canada can, within a positive friendly atmosphere, ask the Chinese government to resolve the Tibetan situation."

Mao's disciple in China

August 28, 2008

TGW Analyst
The Telegraph Nepal
August 27, 2008

Venue: The President's Official premise, Shital Nivas, Kathmandu.

Occasion: Swearing in ceremony of Nepal's newly elected Prime Minister.

Date: 18 August 2208.

The swearing in ceremony has just finished and it is time to
congratulate the new PM of Nepal, Pushpa Kamal Dahal. It should have
been around 4.00 PM by then.

Among the multitude of residential diplomats, the thrilling one was
that indeed of the Indian Ambassador Rakesh Sood's "historical"
handshake with Pushpa Kamal Dahal.

The two met with each other as if they were the "Siamese twin
brothers" lost some where in the KUMBH MELA some two decades back as
could be seen in Indian celluloid films.

The handshake that they have had with each other was so earth shaking
that well within a few hours of that historic handclasp, the same
late evening , Goddess Koshi River perhaps did not like such sort of
"synthetic" acts exhibited by the two almost diametrically opposing
political adherents and the Goddess preferred unfortunately to
penalize the Nepali PM first to the extent that the Koshi river, out
of "sheer anger associated with frustration" flooded the Eastern
embankment and let loose horror in  the Nepali side of the territory
which has till now swept some good hundred plus Nepali population
whose dead bodies could well be collected in the adjoining state of
Bihar. Reports say that River Koshi was so infuriated with Ambassador
Sood that the water did enter deep into the adjoining parts of Bihar,
India and has, say reports, caused immense damage of physical lives
and properties worth billions and billions on the other side of the
border. Some terror stricken Indian nationals in thousands have fled
into this side of the border to save their precious lives. While some
seventy thousand people in Nepal have been rendered homeless then on
the Indian side, according to Indian media reports, some three
million people have already been thrown to the mercy of the Almighty.
The loss caused by the Koshi flood is colossal in India.

To recall, Koshi River is taken as the sorrow of Bihar.

On humanitarian grounds, the Nepal government has absorbed these
ill-fated Indian nationals and has been distributing food packets to
all those who have taken shelter. After all, the people on both sides
of the border possess no hatred for each other.

The tragedy of Prachanda begins:

Prime Minister Prachanda had a very inopportune beginning understandably.

By August 19, 2008, the newly elected Nepal PM was already in a mess,
to be precise.

Contrary to the expectations of the Indian establishment run by an
Italian lady, Comrade Prachanda, who had spent some good years in New
Delhi under the careful protection of the Research Analysis Wing, the
RAW, spoke of the preservation of "nationalism" which by implication
or by design the Indians conclude that it were a ploy to undercut the
Indian authority that is all enveloping in this country.

Hardly had Pushpa Kamal Dahal assumed office of the Nepal's Prime
Minister, Indian Ambassador Rakesh Sood-the trouble maker as he is
widely known in the entire South Asian region, entered into the
official room of the Prime Minister on 19 August morning. The ruse
was to congratulate PM Dahal. However, Ambassador Sood without
congratulating the new Nepal PM lambasted at Dahal and questioned
furiously, "Why are you visiting China prior to making a formal trip
to my country-India"?

Stunned by the unpredictable question, PM Dahal some how or the other
managed to control his physical composure and replied, "Well
Excellency! My visit to China is just a mere coincidence but not a
design! It so happened that the Chinese government extended
invitation to me to attend to the concluding ceremony of the Beijing
Olympics and thus the trip to China."

He further guaranteed the erratic Ambassador by saying that "I will
surely visit your country upon my return from China. Take it easy Mr.
Ambassador."

Not assured by PM Dahal's explanation, Ambassador Sood bluntly said
that "it will not be taken in good taste by my government which had
extended invitation to you for a visit to India much ahead of the
Chinese invitation::

"You will have to pay the price," said Ambassador Sood in an angered
voice to Comrade Dahal leaving the latter to ponder over the
"diplomatic liquidation" of the Indian envoys and more so of the men
manning the South Block administration in New Delhi.

Nevertheless, PM Dahal remained undeterred and instructed Foreign
Secretary Gyan Chandra Acharya to go ahead with the China trip arrangements.

Prachanda annoys India:

The next day, August 20, 2008 PM Dahal rushed to see the Koshi River
flood victims.

Words of compassion apart to the flood affected ones who were in
hundred of thousands, Prime Minister Dahal summarily blamed India for
the Koshi river adversity of the Himalayan scale brought about this
time to the lives of the Nepali population residing close to the
embankment of the said river in Ineruwa district.

This was not all. In effect Nepal PM said that the "Koshi River
agreement signed with India was a Historical gaffe and that India
will be taken to task for the tragedies that befell upon the local population.

"We will soon talk to the Indian government and a review of all the
past and unequal treaties/agreements signed with the other side at
different intervals of time", is what PM Dahal said to the media men
which must have panicked the authorities seated in Delhi.

The utterance of Historical blunder was some what a very rough and
tough word used against India and the latter will not easily digest
this very special word which is used at times of Himalayan hatred for
some disliked ones.

How the Indian establishment strikes back to this Prachanda's fiery
overtures will have to be watched.

Back in Kathmandu, most of the Communist bits and pieces too
lambasted at the Indian establishment in tune and made it known to
the population that India was the main baddie for Nepal and its
overall development.

The message must have reached to Delhi by now.

Save Bimlendra Nidhi, a leader of the Nepali Congress and his ilk,
the rest of the political leaders derided India for the Koshi river disaster.

The UML's absence in the cabinet:

In the mean time, the Maoists were appeasing the UML leaders for
joining the Maoist led government. The UML apparently managed the
names of the ministers to be sent to the cabinet. However, at the
last minute of the swearing in ceremony of the cabinet ministers
which was scheduled for 22 August 2008 afternoon at the President's
office, a minor glitch that cropped up in between the Maoists and the
UML blocked the way for the swearing in of the UML candidates.

The reasons made public by the UML was that the Maoists did not
honored the seniority of the UML leader Bam Dev Gautam and that he
should be the second man in the cabinet hierarchy or else no entrance
of the party in the government led by the Maoists.

Media reports have it that by now the Maoists have already accepted
Mr. Gautam's seniority and that upon the return of PM Dahal every
thing related to the seniority clue will be fixed.

If so then it does ensure that the Maoists led government will last
for long contrary to the rumor that PM Dahal may not continue in
government more than four months or so.

Nevertheless, PM Dahal some how or the other managed Upendra Yadav's
party candidates to bring into his cabinet.

Come August 22, 2008.

In the early morning of this day, PM Dahal made a passionate appeal
to the national population wherein he sought support from all to make
his government a grand success.

What must have jolted the Indian brains is that PM Dahal in his
maiden address to the nation repeatedly stressed on the need to
preserve nationalism, territorial integrity and national sovereignty.
Where from he was sensing a threat to these vital aspects, however,
he did not reveal.

The habit of the Indian bureaucrats has been that as and when Nepali
leaders talk of the preservation of nationalism, it is taken as an
anti-Indian stance and thus they prefer to encourage their declared
local stooges (which are in thousands in Nepal under salary) to cry
foul against such statements.

The China trip and Sood's absence:

Soon after delivering the address to the nation, PM Dahal flew to
China-India's declared bete noir.

Dahal made this trip despite the fact that he was scolded by the
Indian Ambassador. How much the Indian establishment was pained by
Prachanda's China trip could well be observed from the "undiplomatic"
act exhibited by Indian Ambassador Rakesh Sood.

Out of sheer frustration associated with Himalayan diplomatic
debacle, Sood did not show his face at the VVIP lounge wherein he was
supposed to bid farewell to Nepal's Prime Minister to China as per
the diplomatic practice.

Persona Non Grata:

In diplomatic practices, all the residential diplomatic heads have
compulsorily to be present while seeing off the head of the
government of the host country when the latter departs for a friendly
trip abroad. Failing to do so, the host government has the right to
declare such diplomat as Persona Non Grata.

Fortunately, the US Ambassador Nancy J. Powell and the British
Ambassador Dr. Andrew Hall too toed Sood line and remained absent at
the airport to see of PM Dahal to China.

But the fact is that, as the rumors say, Ambassador Nancy and Dr.
Hall have had prior commitments on that very time and thus they could
not make it up with. They had informed the Foreign Ministry of their
absence in advance.

However, Sood's mystifying absence at the airport does tell that he
took PM Dahal's China trip as an insult to "Mother India" and thus
preferred to send his negative signals to PM Dahal and his
establishment by making a sudden trip to Mustang.

High placed sources say that Sood may have gone to Mustang to ensure
as to how his country can spy on the adjoining Tibet in the days ahead.

But then yet gifted analysts claim that the absence of Ambassador
Nancy, Sood and Dr. Hall at the airport on August 23, 2008 is nothing
but the revival of the now defunct London-Delhi-Washington "axis".

If this axis has really been revived, as talked, then what is for
sure is that extremely bad days for PM Dahal have already begun.

If King Gyanendra could not resist the "pressure" of this axis when
in power then PM Dahal is just a small fraction of the whole who
could be easily deposed should the countries in the revived axis so desire.

Enter FM Yadav:

Yet another blow to the Indian establishment was provided by none
less than by Nepal's new Foreign Minister Upendra Yadav on 24 August, 2008.

Talking to media men in Kathmandu, minister Yadav condemned the
Indian negligence which caused the Koshi River to create havoc in Nepal.

To recall, the areas under flood in Sunsari district fall under the
constituency of minister Yadav.

Minister Yadav said that he will raise this issue with the Indian
authorites in Delhi. By time this issue approaches you, Mr. Yadav
will already be in Delhi.

How the Indian hawks chide Nepal's foreign minister will be no less
interesting an event to mull over.

All in all, by the Indian standard Prime Minister Dahal has committed
a crime by denouncing India and flying to China.

Prachanda meets Chinese President and PM:

The final shock Indian establishment received was on August 24, 2008
when PM Dahal was warmly greeted by the Chinese President and the
Prime Minister at the Great Hall of the People.

On both the occasion, the Chinese "assured" the Nepal Prime Minister
that China will continue its "support" to Nepal. But there was some
condition attached. Nepal must not allow pro-Tibetan protests in
Kathmandu, this was the Chinese indication made to Nepal.

A beaming and overly excited Premier Dahal later told the media men
that his talks with the Chinese top hats had been "extremely fruitful".

The word fruitful is enough to lose the nerve of South Block
mandarins for understandable reasons.

Dahal not a Gandhian adherent:

Analysts opine that Indian nationals residing in Nepal must have
received a high voltage current shock when they could see a Chinese
airliner carrying Dahal to Beijing via Tibet or Guangzhou. PM Dahal's
maiden trip to China perhaps made it abundantly clear to the other
side of the border that he was not at all an adherent of Gandhian
philosophy but instead a true "disciple" of late Mao Tse Tung. Now no
illusion perhaps.

This should perhaps console the Indian establishment.

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